Danger Zone Case

Knives in pool

Released November 29, 2018

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.45

Open cost

$3.50

Expected net

-$2.05

Expected return

-58%

Buy Danger Zone Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $35.00
Expected return: $14.53
Expected net: −$20.47
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $46.42

AK-47 | Asiimov$51.77
AWP | Neo-Noir$41.07

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $6.19

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries$8.16
UMP-45 | Momentum$5.21
MP5-SD | Phosphor$5.20

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.00

P250 | Nevermore$1.34
MAC-10 | Pipe Down$1.00
USP-S | Flashback$0.97
Galil AR | Signal$0.95
G3SG1 | Scavenger$0.72

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.42

M4A4 | Magnesium$0.84
Nova | Wood Fired$0.76
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze$0.43
SG 553 | Danger Close$0.24
Tec-9 | Fubar$0.22
MP9 | Modest Threat$0.21
Sawed-Off | Black Sand$0.21

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $177.81

★ Talon Knife | Fade
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.