Falchion Case

Knives in pool

Released April 15, 2015

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.94

Open cost

$3.94

Expected net

-$2.00

Expected return

-51%

Buy Falchion Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $39.40
Expected return: $19.43
Expected net: −$19.97
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $45.24

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge$48.61
AWP | Hyper Beast$41.87

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $7.57

MP7 | Nemesis$10.50
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket$6.25
SG 553 | Cyrex$5.96

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $2.30

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo$4.70
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart$1.96
FAMAS | Neural Net$1.87
P2000 | Handgun$1.86
Negev | Loudmouth$1.10

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.90

Galil AR | Rocket Pop$1.68
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner$1.26
USP-S | Torque$0.95
Nova | Ranger$0.50
UMP-45 | Riot$0.50
P90 | Elite Build$0.48

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $124.79

★ Falchion Knife | Fade
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter
★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.