Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

Knives in pool

Released February 19, 2014

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$3.04

Open cost

$5.73

Expected net

-$2.69

Expected return

-47%

Buy Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $57.30
Expected return: $30.42
Expected net: −$26.88
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $80.67

AWP | Asiimov$87.25
AUG | Chameleon$74.09

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $18.96

AK-47 | Redline$36.53
P90 | Trigon$10.24
Nova | Antique$10.12

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $3.08

MAC-10 | Heat$3.65
USP-S | Guardian$3.29
SG 553 | Pulse$2.69
FAMAS | Sergeant$2.67

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.52

Tec-9 | Sandstorm$0.79
Negev | Terrain$0.45
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard$0.44
UMP-45 | Corporal$0.38

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $388.98

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
★ Karambit | Fade
★ Karambit

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.