Recoil Case

Released May 30, 2022

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$0.94

Open cost

$2.86

Expected net

-$1.92

Expected return

-67%

Buy Recoil Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $28.60
Expected return: $9.44
Expected net: −$19.16
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $37.34

USP-S | Printstream$44.17
AWP | Chromatic Aberration$30.50

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $4.69

AK-47 | Ice Coaled$5.73
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love$4.39
P250 | Visions$3.96

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.58

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora$0.69
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8$0.64
SG 553 | Dragon Tech$0.60
M249 | Downtown$0.50
P90 | Vent Rush$0.48

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.13

Glock-18 | Winterized$0.16
FAMAS | Meow 36$0.15
M4A4 | Poly Mag$0.15
Galil AR | Destroyer$0.13
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage$0.12
Negev | Drop Me$0.10
UMP-45 | Roadblock$0.10

★ Gloves

Drop 0.26%Avg $137.76

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.