Shadow Case

Knives in pool

Released September 15, 2015

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.13

Open cost

$3.98

Expected net

-$1.85

Expected return

-47%

Buy Shadow Case

Achtung — Glücksspiel kann süchtig machen

Bitte spiele verantwortungsbewusst und nur mit Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst. Wenn Glücksspiel keinen Spaß mehr macht, findest du kostenlose, vertrauliche Hilfe bei BeGambleAware.org

Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $39.80
Expected return: $21.29
Expected net: −$18.51
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $79.28

USP-S | Kill Confirmed$85.97
M4A1-S | Golden Coil$72.58

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $16.54

AK-47 | Frontside Misty$23.09
SSG 08 | Big Iron$13.46
G3SG1 | Flux$13.07

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $2.45

Galil AR | Stone Cold$4.16
P250 | Wingshot$2.06
MP7 | Special Delivery$1.93
M249 | Nebula Crusader$1.65

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.66

Glock-18 | Wraiths$1.25
FAMAS | Survivor Z$0.91
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons$0.66
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core$0.57
MAC-10 | Rangeen$0.48
SCAR-20 | Green Marine$0.41
XM1014 | Scumbria$0.35

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $66.50

★ Shadow Daggers | Fade
★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.