Chroma 3 Case

Knives in pool

Released April 19, 2016

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.76

Open cost

$5.60

Expected net

-$2.84

Expected return

-51%

Buy Chroma 3 Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $56.00
Expected return: $27.55
Expected net: −$28.45
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $120.76

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire$125.23
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis$116.29

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $12.59

AUG | Fleet Flock$13.11
P250 | Asiimov$12.61
UMP-45 | Primal Saber$12.04

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.87

Tec-9 | Re-Entry$2.20
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader$1.95
Galil AR | Firefight$1.85
XM1014 | Black Tie$1.70
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor$1.65

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.38

P2000 | Oceanic$0.52
Dual Berettas | Ventilators$0.39
G3SG1 | Orange Crash$0.38
M249 | Spectre$0.37
SG 553 | Atlas$0.36
MP9 | Bioleak$0.34
Sawed-Off | Fubar$0.30

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $375.82

★ Karambit | Doppler
★ Karambit | Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.