All cases

CS:GO Weapon Case

Knives in pool

Released September 20, 2013

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$33.86

Open cost

$104.51

Expected net

-$70.65

Expected return

-68%

Buy CS:GO Weapon Case

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Open-cost calculator

Open-cost calculator

Total cost
$1,045.10
Expected return
$338.59
Expected net
−$706.51
Chance of a rare special
2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $537.63
  • AWP | Lightning Strike$537.63

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $206.52
  • AK-47 | Case Hardened$243.09
  • Desert Eagle | Hypnotic$169.95

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $78.70
  • Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo$96.42
  • M4A1-S | Dark Water$70.36
  • USP-S | Dark Water$69.31

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $12.79
  • SG 553 | Ultraviolet$13.76
  • MP7 | Skulls$13.70
  • AUG | Wings$10.90

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $388.98
  • ★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
  • ★ Karambit | Fade
  • ★ Karambit

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.