CS:GO Weapon Case 3

Knives in pool

Released September 20, 2013

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$13.19

Open cost

$14.65

Expected net

-$1.46

Expected return

-10%

Buy CS:GO Weapon Case 3

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $146.50
Expected return: $131.93
Expected net: −$14.57
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $78.31

CZ75-Auto | Victoria$78.31

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $27.68

P250 | Undertow$35.98
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now$19.38

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $17.04

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit$28.69
Desert Eagle | Heirloom$17.34
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy$14.70
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate$7.42

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $10.10

P2000 | Red FragCam$23.81
USP-S | Stainless$12.52
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure$5.21
Dual Berettas | Panther$4.88
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web$4.09

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $388.98

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
★ Karambit | Fade
★ Karambit

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.