Fever Case

Knives in pool

Released February 4, 2025

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.02

Open cost

$3.05

Expected net

-$2.03

Expected return

-66%

Buy Fever Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $30.50
Expected return: $10.23
Expected net: −$20.27
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $44.49

AWP | Printstream$48.20
FAMAS | Bad Trip$40.77

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $5.01

Glock-18 | Shinobu$5.36
AK-47 | Searing Rage$5.27
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory$4.39

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.57

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike$0.60
Nova | Rising Sun$0.58
P90 | Wave Breaker$0.57
Galil AR | Control$0.56
Zeus x27 | Tosai$0.52

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.14

USP-S | PC-GRN$0.19
SSG 08 | Memorial$0.18
M4A4 | Choppa$0.16
MP9 | Nexus$0.12
XM1014 | Mockingbird$0.11
MAG-7 | Resupply$0.10
P2000 | Sure Grip$0.10

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $144.06

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.