Fracture Case

Knives in pool

Released July 13, 2020

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$0.78

Open cost

$2.82

Expected net

-$2.04

Expected return

-72%

Buy Fracture Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $28.20
Expected return: $7.82
Expected net: −$20.38
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $33.03

Desert Eagle | Printstream$36.28
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis$29.77

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $3.87

Glock-18 | Vogue$4.14
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy$4.14
XM1014 | Entombed$3.34

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.50

MAG-7 | Monster Call$0.61
Galil AR | Connexion$0.48
Tec-9 | Brother$0.48
MAC-10 | Allure$0.47
MP5-SD | Kitbash$0.44

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.09

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001$0.11
P2000 | Gnarled$0.10
P250 | Cassette$0.10
PP-Bizon | Runic$0.10
P90 | Freight$0.09
Negev | Ultralight$0.08
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty$0.08

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $113.42

★ Skeleton Knife | Fade
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter
★ Nomad Knife | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.