Danger Zone Case

Knives in pool

Released November 29, 2018

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.27

Open cost

$3.33

Expected net

-$2.06

Expected return

-62%

Buy Danger Zone Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $33.30
Expected return: $12.72
Expected net: −$20.58
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $41.87

AK-47 | Asiimov$45.71
AWP | Neo-Noir$38.03

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $5.69

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries$7.38
MP5-SD | Phosphor$4.88
UMP-45 | Momentum$4.82

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.84

P250 | Nevermore$0.99
MAC-10 | Pipe Down$0.95
Galil AR | Signal$0.81
USP-S | Flashback$0.77
G3SG1 | Scavenger$0.66

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.32

M4A4 | Magnesium$0.67
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze$0.36
Nova | Wood Fired$0.36
SG 553 | Danger Close$0.26
Tec-9 | Fubar$0.22
MP9 | Modest Threat$0.20
Sawed-Off | Black Sand$0.20

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $166.06

★ Talon Knife | Fade
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.