Chroma 3 Case

Knives in pool

Released April 19, 2016

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.41

Open cost

$5.22

Expected net

-$2.81

Expected return

-54%

Buy Chroma 3 Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $52.20
Expected return: $24.07
Expected net: −$28.13
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $105.86

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire$108.73
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis$102.98

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $10.68

P250 | Asiimov$10.78
AUG | Fleet Flock$10.74
UMP-45 | Primal Saber$10.51

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.55

Tec-9 | Re-Entry$1.82
Galil AR | Firefight$1.70
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader$1.54
XM1014 | Black Tie$1.50
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor$1.19

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.32

P2000 | Oceanic$0.39
M249 | Spectre$0.32
SG 553 | Atlas$0.32
Dual Berettas | Ventilators$0.31
G3SG1 | Orange Crash$0.31
MP9 | Bioleak$0.30
Sawed-Off | Fubar$0.26

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $340.15

★ Karambit | Doppler
★ Karambit | Marble Fade
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.