CS:GO Weapon Case 3

Knives in pool

Released September 20, 2013

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$11.78

Open cost

$13.27

Expected net

-$1.49

Expected return

-11%

Buy CS:GO Weapon Case 3

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $132.70
Expected return: $117.80
Expected net: −$14.90
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $76.10

CZ75-Auto | Victoria$76.10

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $23.89

P250 | Undertow$29.73
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now$18.05

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $14.40

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit$21.12
Desert Eagle | Heirloom$17.55
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy$12.58
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate$6.33

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $9.10

P2000 | Red FragCam$23.08
USP-S | Stainless$11.22
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure$4.24
Dual Berettas | Panther$3.82
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web$3.12

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $367.16

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened
★ Karambit | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.