Dreams & Nightmares Case

Knives in pool

Released November 17, 2021

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.44

Open cost

$3.69

Expected net

-$2.25

Expected return

-61%

Buy Dreams & Nightmares Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $36.90
Expected return: $14.37
Expected net: −$22.53
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $62.77

MP9 | Starlight Protector$63.17
AK-47 | Nightwish$62.36

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $6.35

Dual Berettas | Melondrama$6.40
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement$6.34
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition$6.31

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.74

M4A1-S | Night Terror$0.92
USP-S | Ticket to Hell$0.78
G3SG1 | Dream Glade$0.76
PP-Bizon | Space Cat$0.64
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive$0.60

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.10

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.$0.13
Five-SeveN | Scrawl$0.11
MAC-10 | Ensnared$0.11
P2000 | Lifted Spirits$0.11
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board$0.10
MAG-7 | Foresight$0.08
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist$0.08

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $243.73

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.