Gallery Case

Knives in pool

Released July 1, 2024

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.28

Open cost

$3.07

Expected net

-$1.79

Expected return

-58%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $30.70
Expected return: $12.81
Expected net: −$17.89
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $45.17

M4A1-S | Vaporwave$56.13
Glock-18 | Gold Toof$34.20

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $6.93

AK-47 | The Outsiders$9.53
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir$5.67
P250 | Epicenter$5.58

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.58

SSG 08 | Rapid Transit$2.15
M4A4 | Turbine$2.06
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni$1.52
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike$1.40
P90 | Randy Rush$0.75

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.42

Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti$0.73
R8 Revolver | Tango$0.55
USP-S | 27$0.52
AUG | Luxe Trim$0.31
M249 | Hypnosis$0.30
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer$0.27
MP5-SD | Statics$0.25

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $69.96

★ Kukri Knife | Fade
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.