Horizon Case

Knives in pool

Released June 7, 2018

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.79

Open cost

$3.66

Expected net

-$1.87

Expected return

-51%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $36.60
Expected return: $17.91
Expected net: −$18.69
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $50.84

AK-47 | Neon Rider$55.90
Desert Eagle | Code Red$45.78

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $10.93

M4A1-S | Nightmare$19.49
FAMAS | Eye of Athena$7.61
Sawed-Off | Devourer$5.70

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.98

AWP | PAW$2.88
MP7 | Powercore$1.97
CZ75-Auto | Eco$1.80
G3SG1 | High Seas$1.69
Nova | Toy Soldier$1.54

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.46

Glock-18 | Warhawk$0.67
Tec-9 | Snek-9$0.61
AUG | Amber Slipstream$0.43
P90 | Traction$0.43
Dual Berettas | Shred$0.37
MP9 | Capillary$0.36
R8 Revolver | Survivalist$0.35

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $166.06

★ Talon Knife | Fade
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.