Horizon Case

Knives in pool

Released June 7, 2018

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.03

Open cost

$3.91

Expected net

-$1.88

Expected return

-48%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $39.10
Expected return: $20.33
Expected net: −$18.77
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $60.60

AK-47 | Neon Rider$68.34
Desert Eagle | Code Red$52.85

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $13.34

M4A1-S | Nightmare$25.71
FAMAS | Eye of Athena$8.21
Sawed-Off | Devourer$6.09

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $2.18

AWP | PAW$3.00
MP7 | Powercore$2.14
CZ75-Auto | Eco$1.98
Nova | Toy Soldier$1.93
G3SG1 | High Seas$1.84

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.51

Glock-18 | Warhawk$0.77
Tec-9 | Snek-9$0.60
P90 | Traction$0.47
AUG | Amber Slipstream$0.45
MP9 | Capillary$0.44
Dual Berettas | Shred$0.43
R8 Revolver | Survivalist$0.43

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $177.81

★ Talon Knife | Fade
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.