Operation Bravo Case

Knives in pool

Released September 20, 2013

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$17.81

Open cost

$55.25

Expected net

-$37.44

Expected return

-68%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $552.50
Expected return: $178.10
Expected net: −$374.40
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $446.95

AK-47 | Fire Serpent$722.60
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi$171.29

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $121.88

AWP | Graphite$139.25
P90 | Emerald Dragon$114.26
P2000 | Ocean Foam$112.12

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $25.46

M4A1-S | Bright Water$34.13
MAC-10 | Graven$26.34
USP-S | Overgrowth$21.72
M4A4 | Zirka$19.66

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $7.54

Galil AR | Shattered$16.83
Nova | Tempest$7.80
Dual Berettas | Black Limba$6.07
SG 553 | Wave Spray$5.42
UMP-45 | Bone Pile$5.12
G3SG1 | Demeter$4.01

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $367.16

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened
★ Karambit | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.