Operation Wildfire Case

Knives in pool

Released January 19, 2016

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.64

Open cost

$4.73

Expected net

-$2.09

Expected return

-44%

Buy Operation Wildfire Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $47.30
Expected return: $26.40
Expected net: −$20.90
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $79.66

AK-47 | Fuel Injector$126.01
M4A4 | The Battlestar$33.30

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $16.70

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon$21.35
AWP | Elite Build$14.82
Nova | Hyper Beast$13.92

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $3.66

FAMAS | Valence$5.24
Glock-18 | Royal Legion$4.52
MAG-7 | Praetorian$3.12
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate$2.79
MP7 | Impire$2.63

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.97

USP-S | Lead Conduit$1.61
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator$1.29
Tec-9 | Jambiya$0.88
Dual Berettas | Cartel$0.76
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone$0.64
SSG 08 | Necropos$0.61

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $90.57

★ Bowie Knife | Fade
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.