Prisma Case

Knives in pool

Released March 5, 2019

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.69

Open cost

$3.34

Expected net

-$1.65

Expected return

-49%

Buy Prisma Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $33.40
Expected return: $16.87
Expected net: −$16.53
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $55.47

M4A4 | The Emperor$60.61
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob$50.33

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $5.29

AUG | Momentum$5.61
XM1014 | Incinegator$5.17
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher$5.09

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.92

AWP | Atheris$5.19
Desert Eagle | Light Rail$2.11
Tec-9 | Bamboozle$0.96
MP5-SD | Gauss$0.68
UMP-45 | Moonrise$0.65

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.41

AK-47 | Uncharted$0.79
MAC-10 | Whitefish$0.41
Galil AR | Akoben$0.39
FAMAS | Crypsis$0.35
P250 | Verdigris$0.33
MP7 | Mischief$0.30
P90 | Off World$0.30

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $203.12

★ Talon Knife | Doppler
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.