Spectrum Case

Knives in pool

Released March 1, 2017

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.70

Open cost

$5.79

Expected net

-$3.09

Expected return

-53%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $57.90
Expected return: $26.97
Expected net: −$30.93
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $116.93

AK-47 | Bloodsport$135.80
USP-S | Neo-Noir$98.06

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $14.11

M4A1-S | Decimator$15.85
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu$13.28
AWP | Fever Dream$13.19

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.83

Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami$2.94
MAC-10 | Last Dive$1.60
UMP-45 | Scaffold$1.59
XM1014 | Seasons$1.58
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart$1.46

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.47

Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze$0.59
MP7 | Akoben$0.59
Five-SeveN | Capillary$0.50
P250 | Ripple$0.47
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream$0.40
SCAR-20 | Blueprint$0.40
Sawed-Off | Zander$0.32

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $318.77

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.