Spectrum Case

Knives in pool

Released March 1, 2017

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.36

Open cost

$5.34

Expected net

-$2.98

Expected return

-56%

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $53.40
Expected return: $23.56
Expected net: −$29.84
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $104.70

AK-47 | Bloodsport$117.43
USP-S | Neo-Noir$91.96

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $12.71

M4A1-S | Decimator$14.14
AWP | Fever Dream$12.46
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu$11.52

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.58

Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami$2.43
UMP-45 | Scaffold$1.49
MAC-10 | Last Dive$1.36
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart$1.32
XM1014 | Seasons$1.32

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.39

Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze$0.47
MP7 | Akoben$0.44
Five-SeveN | Capillary$0.42
P250 | Ripple$0.37
SCAR-20 | Blueprint$0.37
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream$0.34
Sawed-Off | Zander$0.34

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $275.12

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.