Dreams & Nightmares Case

Knives in pool

Released January 20, 2022

Est. EV / open

$1.44

Open cost

$3.80

Expected net

-$2.36

Expected return

-62%

Buy Dreams & Nightmares Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $38.00
Expected return: $14.36
Expected net: −$23.64
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $22.50

AK-47 | Nightwish$36.00
FAMAS | Roll Cage$9.00

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $5.35

USP-S | Ticket to Hell$6.50
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition$4.20

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.93

PP-Bizon | Space Cat$1.10
G3SG1 | Dream Glade$0.75

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.24

MP9 | Starlight Protector$0.28
MAG-7 | Foresight$0.20

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $300.00

★ Butterfly Knife
★ Talon Knife
★ Skeleton Knife

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.