Falchion Case

Knives in pool

Released April 15, 2015

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$1.69

Open cost

$3.77

Expected net

-$2.08

Expected return

-55%

Buy Falchion Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $37.70
Expected return: $16.95
Expected net: −$20.75
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $41.31

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge$43.18
AWP | Hyper Beast$39.43

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $6.69

MP7 | Nemesis$8.82
SG 553 | Cyrex$5.77
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket$5.48

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $1.95

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo$3.97
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart$1.75
FAMAS | Neural Net$1.60
P2000 | Handgun$1.53
Negev | Loudmouth$0.89

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.77

Galil AR | Rocket Pop$1.39
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner$1.09
USP-S | Torque$0.86
Nova | Ranger$0.46
UMP-45 | Riot$0.42
P90 | Elite Build$0.41

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $111.29

★ Falchion Knife | Fade
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.