Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

Knives in pool

Released February 19, 2014

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$2.78

Open cost

$5.49

Expected net

-$2.71

Expected return

-49%

Buy Operation Phoenix Weapon Case

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Open-cost calculator

Number of opens

Total cost: $54.90
Expected return: $27.75
Expected net: −$27.15
Chance of a rare special: 2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $75.27

AWP | Asiimov$80.26
AUG | Chameleon$70.28

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $17.12

AK-47 | Redline$33.04
P90 | Trigon$9.18
Nova | Antique$9.14

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $2.65

MAC-10 | Heat$3.05
USP-S | Guardian$2.75
SG 553 | Pulse$2.46
FAMAS | Sergeant$2.34

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.46

Tec-9 | Sandstorm$0.69
UMP-45 | Corporal$0.40
Negev | Terrain$0.38
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard$0.36

★ Knives

Drop 0.26%Avg $367.16

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened
★ Karambit | Fade

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.