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Recoil Case

Released May 30, 2022

EV prices via Skinport

Est. EV / open

$0.82

Open cost

$2.72

Expected net

-$1.90

Expected return

-70%

Buy Recoil Case

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Open-cost calculator

Open-cost calculator

Total cost
$27.20
Expected return
$8.21
Expected net
−$18.99
Chance of a rare special
2.57%

Estimates weight each skin's price by its float range and StatTrak chance, on the published CS2 drop odds. Any single open still swings on the exact float you roll — over many opens, the house edge means you should expect to lose money.

Drop pool by rarity

Covert

Drop 0.64%Avg $34.03
  • USP-S | Printstream$38.23
  • AWP | Chromatic Aberration$29.83

Classified

Drop 3.2%Avg $4.21
  • AK-47 | Ice Coaled$5.15
  • Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love$4.00
  • P250 | Visions$3.48

Restricted

Drop 16%Avg $0.51
  • Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora$0.65
  • R8 Revolver | Crazy 8$0.54
  • SG 553 | Dragon Tech$0.47
  • M249 | Downtown$0.44
  • P90 | Vent Rush$0.43

Mil-Spec

Drop 80%Avg $0.11
  • Glock-18 | Winterized$0.14
  • M4A4 | Poly Mag$0.13
  • FAMAS | Meow 36$0.11
  • MAC-10 | Monkeyflage$0.10
  • UMP-45 | Roadblock$0.10
  • Galil AR | Destroyer$0.09
  • Negev | Drop Me$0.09

★ Gloves

Drop 0.26%Avg $115.13
  • ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
  • ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
  • ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Each skin's value is estimated across all wear conditions — weighted by its float range and blended with StatTrak — rather than a live quote for a single listing. Drop odds follow the published CS2 container rates. Expected value is what an average open is worth across many openings; individual results vary widely.